Author Topic: 2012 election contest  (Read 2946 times)

Offline dug

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2012 election contest
« on: November 01, 2012, 03:42:08 PM »
I was talking with the guys in my office and decided to start an election pool and was thought it would be fun to do the same here.  We are going for $5 each at work but was thinking on the BBS it would just be for bragging rights, but after a little more thinking I decided to step up to the plate and offer a prize for the winner. 

Whoever wins will get a copy of the book "The Ultimate History of the Video Games".  I'll buy it on amazon and have it shipped right to your house.   I have a copy and think it is a great book with lots of cool history of classic arcade games, including a lot of information on the business side of all the big players back in the golden age. 
http://www.amazon.com/Ultimate-History-Video-Games-Pokemon--/dp/0761536434/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1351795160&sr=1-1&keywords=ultimate+history+of+video+games

The rules:
You pick a winner, the winner's electoral college vote count, and the winner's percentage of the popular vote (with two decimal places.)  The person who picks the winner and is closest on the electoral vote count wins.  As most people expect this to be a close race you can pick the same electoral college count as someone else in which case the winner will be decided by who is closest on the popular vote.  If for some reason there is a tie on the popular vote percent then the winner will be the person who posted first.   

For example: if two people have the same EV or are the same distance from the final EV then it goes to who is closest on the popular vote percent for the winner - again, please make sure to use two decimal places on your popular vote percentage.

There is no cost to enter but I want to keep it to BBS people so you must have at least have at least 50 posts or have been a member for at least one year.  I guess anyone could enter but the prize is limited to regular BBS participants (I'm hoping to limit the number of trolls.)       

The contest ends at 7:30am (eastern time) on election day Tuesday November 6th. 

Good luck!

Edit: to try and make sure this is at least somewhat interesting I'm going to say we need a minimum of 5 people entered in order for someone to win the prize.
« Last Edit: November 01, 2012, 04:47:06 PM by dtitus »
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Offline dug

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2012, 03:42:22 PM »
My entry is:
Winner: Romney
EV count: 272
Popular vote: 50.75%   
WTB: Eight Ball Deluxe, The Getaway - HSII, Qbert,

Jacksonville Arcade Expo - www.jaxarcadex.com

How come you never see the headline “Psychic Wins Lottery”?

Offline SpineyNorman

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2012, 03:55:51 PM »
Winner OBama
EC 272
Pop 49.15
TANSTAAFL 

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Offline kbvette

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2012, 04:52:40 PM »
                                  Pfft  I'll bet you $10,000 Obama wins  ;)   Even Rick Perry would take bet ;D
                               
                                 winner Obama
                                 ec 279
                                 pv 49.89
« Last Edit: November 01, 2012, 05:03:06 PM by kbvette »
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Offline briefcase

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #4 on: November 01, 2012, 05:06:34 PM »
Winner: America (by way of Mitt Romney)  8)
Electoral college vote total: 274
Popular vote percentage: 51.63%


The polls make it seem closer than it will be, I believe. If you look into the numbers, you see that independents in most states favor Romney, and even with enthusiastic turnout by Democrats ("Four more meh years! Four more meh years!"), I think Republicans are even more enthusiastic to show The Big 0 and Smilin' Joe the door and get the country growing again.
"Socialism is the philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance and the gospel of envy." — Winston Churchill

Don't blame me: I voted with the majority of Electoral College electors.

Offline Baiter

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2012, 05:50:57 PM »
Winner: Obama
EC: 303
Pop: 50.35
WTB: Defender, Embryon

Offline kbvette

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2012, 05:53:22 PM »
Winner: Obama
EC: 303
Pop: 50.35
                                 " Go big or go home"  :)
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Offline dug

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2012, 10:08:52 AM »
New York Times has an awesome interactive electoral path counter to help figure out your entry.  I saw this on fark.com so need to give credit to them.   

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/11/02/us/politics/paths-to-the-white-house.html
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How come you never see the headline “Psychic Wins Lottery”?

Offline Chris

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2012, 06:17:40 PM »
I guess I'll make a little bolder of a prediction here. The phone polls will turn out to have been wrong because many of them only call landlines, third parties will get a larger piece of the pie than usual thanks to a young disenfranchised demographic, and ultimately Obama will get somewhere south of 50%, but still win. Florida will get so close it may take a recount.

So, um...
Winner: Obama
EV: 272
Pop: 49.50%

We'll see if any of this even remotely comes true, but one thing I learned in 2004 is no matter how many people hate the president, if your candidate is perceived as a boring out-of-touch moderate, he's in trouble.

Offline TheBatman

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2012, 12:50:17 AM »
Ooh, a pick the winner game, just like in the football forum!  OK, I'll jump in on this one.  The first number that came to my head was 302 in the Electoral college, but I won't "The Price is Right" undercut Baiter by 1, so I might as well go BIGGER to please Kbvette! :)  The 2nd number that came into my head was 311, but I'll split the difference so people don't think I'm Batshit crazy ALL the time. So, I'm going with:

Obama:  307 in Electoral college, 51.5% popular vote

Good news/ bad news depending which side you're on, don't shoot the messenger, but that's the way I see it falling.  Plus, I want that book! :)
« Last Edit: November 05, 2012, 12:52:08 AM by TheBatman »

Offline Todd

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2012, 05:38:55 AM »
Winner: Romney
Elec: 286
Pop: 50.75%


Offline dug

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2012, 09:50:33 PM »
Given the recent change in polls I'm going to revise my entry and bump my electoral count up a bit from 272 to 279.

My updated is:
Winner: Romney
EV count: 279
Popular vote: 50.75%   
WTB: Eight Ball Deluxe, The Getaway - HSII, Qbert,

Jacksonville Arcade Expo - www.jaxarcadex.com

How come you never see the headline “Psychic Wins Lottery”?

Offline kbvette

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #12 on: November 06, 2012, 09:25:06 AM »
                        this is interesting
                                                               http://www.votehillsborough.org/?id=95
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Offline dug

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2012, 08:21:54 AM »
And the winner is Baiter!  He got the exact count so he will be getting the book.  Thanks to everyone who participated and for keeping it civil too.

Baiter, PM your address and I'll get the book headed your way.

Winner: Obama
EC: 303
Pop: 50.35
WTB: Eight Ball Deluxe, The Getaway - HSII, Qbert,

Jacksonville Arcade Expo - www.jaxarcadex.com

How come you never see the headline “Psychic Wins Lottery”?

Offline kbvette

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Re: 2012 election contest
« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2012, 09:24:43 AM »

                            All hail Baiter....prognosticator of DOOM ;D
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