Author Topic: 2020 Election Betting Contest  (Read 2619 times)

Offline dug

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2020 Election Betting Contest
« on: October 28, 2020, 09:53:23 PM »
During the 2012 presidential election I posted asking for predictions on who would win and made it a bit of a contest by offering a prize (Dan/Batman ended up winning).   http://villagebbs.com/forum/index.php/topic,17122.msg144792.html#msg144792

This time around it is just for bragging rights (or perhaps a Trading Places gentleman's bet of $1.) 

The rules:
Pick a winner for president and their electoral college vote count.
Also pick who will have control of the house and senate. 

The person who picks the winner for president and is closest on the electoral vote count wins.  If there is a tie the winner will be who got more right on control of the house and senate.  If that is a tie the winner will be who posted first.   

The contest ends at 7:30am (eastern time) on election day Tuesday November 3rd.

Good luck!
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How come you never see the headline “Psychic Wins Lottery”?

Offline dug

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 09:55:55 PM »
My entry is straight incumbent:

Winner: Trump
EV count: 310

Senate: Republican
House: Democrat
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How come you never see the headline “Psychic Wins Lottery”?

Offline number six

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2020, 12:04:01 PM »

Trump 279

Senate Republican
House Democrat

Offline k7

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 08:46:07 AM »
President - it doesn't matter...we all lose. :o

Senate: Republican

House: Democrat



Jo Jorgensen:
.                                                   














« Last Edit: November 04, 2020, 08:49:03 AM by k7 »
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Offline Don Panetta aka 404

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2020, 06:14:09 AM »
Trump 279
Biden 0


Wait for it...

Offline WannaTheater

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2020, 02:07:24 PM »
Quote
Trump 279
...

Trump's best path to 279 would be to lose 100 lbs.
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Offline Don Panetta aka 404

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2020, 04:27:01 PM »
Trump's best path to 279 would be to lose 100 lbs.

Remember this

Offline number six

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2020, 10:21:34 AM »
I'd like to say this wasn't fair, at no point did I consider the votes of the recently deceased would be in play.

Offline WannaTheater

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2020, 04:18:41 PM »
Quote
Remember this

Seriously, why?  Because somehow, our election system that has worked since 1789 is suddenly no longer working? Are Republican controlled states just letting people manufacture 5 million votes (about how much Trump is losing popular vote by), and that is what is turning them blue?

Remember when Trump said the 2016 election was also rigged, and that's why he lost the popular vote by about 3M?  In 2016, I think it was the busloads of illegals, voting.  Refresher: 
https://apnews.com/article/f5f6a73b2af546ee97816bb35e82c18d
https://www.factcheck.org/2016/10/trumps-bogus-voter-fraud-claims/
In 2020 I guess it is all the dead people voting...
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Offline k7

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #9 on: November 11, 2020, 03:24:33 PM »
i don't care who wins. it's my ship and i ignore the captain anyways...


but...there's been major issues in the election process since at least the year 2000.

biden had a chance of winning 2 out of the 7 states left, a week ago. boy, did that change.

and this: trump had 55%+ of pennsylvania with 93% of the vote in. i am curious how they pulled this crap off. :)

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Offline Baiter

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #10 on: November 12, 2020, 12:25:43 AM »
and this: trump had 55%+ of pennsylvania with 93% of the vote in. i am curious how they pulled this crap off. :)

Is it really a mystery?  Trump is actually responsible for inadvertently orchestrating the way the numbers rolled in.  Remember he spent months, years even, claiming mail in ballots were a source of voter fraud (never mind that's the way he votes).  Then while a worldwide pandemic descended upon the U.S., he downplayed it.  For both reasons Trump voters were more comfortable with in-person voting and would shun mail in voting, while Biden voters played it safe with the pandemic and voted by mail.  Pennsylvania counts the in-person ballots first, then the mail-in ballots, with rural areas, which lean Republican, coming in first (smaller number to count than urban areas) and urban counts coming in later.  In that sequence while early counts favored Trump, by the time all is said and done, that idea that Trump had a 55% lead was a false indicator of the outcome.  Everyone new beforehand, explained in all the media outlets, the later counts would lean Democratic, in all states.  There's no fraud or conspiracy, it's simple human behavior and math.

This is a more complete explanation: https://theconversation.com/how-votes-are-counted-in-pennsylvania-changing-numbers-are-a-sign-of-transparency-not-fraud-during-an-ongoing-process-149685
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Offline k7

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #11 on: November 14, 2020, 12:34:04 PM »
agree with most of that, but trump voted in person in west palm beach. :)

anyone who needs a president to guide them to common sense is already a drone. trump or biden, dumb cannot be defeated. :P


now can we get rid of the poll texters? how can you track one of them down, just to choke the crap out of him/her? it's a useless activity, and wrong answers are given more often than actual answers.
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Offline Don Panetta aka 404

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #12 on: November 14, 2020, 02:17:39 PM »
Seriously, why?  Because somehow, our election system that has worked since 1789 is suddenly no longer working? Are Republican controlled states just letting people manufacture 5 million votes (about how much Trump is losing popular vote by), and that is what is turning them blue?

Remember when Trump said the 2016 election was also rigged, and that's why he lost the popular vote by about 3M?  In 2016, I think it was the busloads of illegals, voting.  Refresher: 
https://apnews.com/article/f5f6a73b2af546ee97816bb35e82c18d
https://www.factcheck.org/2016/10/trumps-bogus-voter-fraud-claims/
In 2020 I guess it is all the dead people voting...

just remember.

Offline beepnutz

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #13 on: November 14, 2020, 06:01:34 PM »
Release the Kraken

Offline SpineyNorman

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Re: 2020 Election Betting Contest
« Reply #14 on: November 14, 2020, 09:27:08 PM »
...
TANSTAAFL 

I'm available for parties, own my own donkeys. Very clean.
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